Wefurthermore derive, with mathematical proof and extensive numerical evidence, the scalinglawexponents inallofthese phases, inparticular computing theoptimal modelparameter-count as a function of floating point operation budget.

We analyze prediction error in stochastic dynamical systems with memory, focusing on generalized Langevin equations (GLEs) formulated as stochastic Volterra equations. We establish that, under a strongly convex potential, trajectory discrepancies decay at a rate determined by the decay of the memory kernel and are quantitatively bounded by the estimation error of the kernel in a weighted norm. Our analysis integrates synchronized noise coupling with a Volterra comparison theorem, encompassing both subexponential and exponential kernel classes. For first-order models, we derive moment and perturbation bounds using resolvent estimates in weighted spaces. For second-order models with confining potentials, we prove contraction and stability under kernel perturbations using a hypocoercive Lyapunov-type distance. This framework accommodates non-translation-invariant kernels and white-noise forcing, explicitly linking improved kernel estimation to enhanced trajectory prediction. Numerical examples validate these theoretical findings.

We investigate scaling laws for stochastic momentum algorithms with small batch on the power law random features model, parameterized by data complexity, target complexity, and model size. When trained with a stochastic momentum algorithm, our analysis reveals four distinct loss curve shapes determined by varying data-target complexities. While traditional stochastic gradient descent with momentum (SGD-M) yields identical scaling law exponents to SGD, dimension-adapted Nesterov acceleration (DANA) improves these exponents by scaling momentum hyperparameters based on model size and data complexity. This outscaling phenomenon, which also improves compute-optimal scaling behavior, is achieved by DANA across a broad range of data and target complexities, while traditional methods fall short. Extensive experiments on high-dimensional synthetic quadratics validate our theoretical predictions and large-scale text experiments with LSTMs show DANA's improved loss exponents over SGD hold in a practical setting.

We consider the three parameter solvable neural scaling model introduced by Maloney, Roberts, and Sully. The model has three parameters: data complexity, target complexity, and model-parameter-count. We use this neural scaling model to derive new predictions about the compute-limited, infinite-data scaling law regime. To train the neural scaling model, we run one-pass stochastic gradient descent on a mean-squared loss. We derive a representation of the loss curves which holds over all iteration counts and improves in accuracy as the model parameter count grows. We then analyze the compute-optimal model-parameter-count, and identify 4 phases (+3 subphases) in the data-complexity/target-complexity phase-plane. The phase boundaries are determined by the relative importance of model capacity, optimizer noise, and embedding of the features. We furthermore derive, with mathematical proof and extensive numerical evidence, the scaling-law exponents in all of these phases, in particular computing the optimal model-parameter-count as a function of floating point operation budget.

We introduce a novel approach for learning memory kernels in Generalized Langevin Equations. This approach initially utilizes a regularized Prony method to estimate correlation functions from trajectory data, followed by regression over a Sobolev norm-based loss function with RKHS regularization. Our approach guarantees improved performance within an exponentially weighted $L^2$ space, with the kernel estimation error controlled by the error in estimated correlation functions. We demonstrate the superiority of our estimator compared to other regression estimators that rely on $L^2$ loss functions and also an estimator derived from the inverse Laplace transform, using numerical examples that highlight its consistent advantage across various weight parameter selections. Additionally, we provide examples that include the application of force and drift terms in the equation.

To stabilize PDEs, feedback controllers require gain kernel functions, which are themselves governed by PDEs. Furthermore, these gain-kernel PDEs depend on the PDE plants' functional coefficients. The functional coefficients in PDE plants are often unknown. This requires an adaptive approach to PDE control, i.e., an estimation of the plant coefficients conducted concurrently with control, where a separate PDE for the gain kernel must be solved at each timestep upon the update in the plant coefficient function estimate. Solving a PDE at each timestep is computationally expensive and a barrier to the implementation of real-time adaptive control of PDEs. Recently, results in neural operator (NO) approximations of functional mappings have been introduced into PDE control, for replacing the computation of the gain kernel with a neural network that is trained, once offline, and reused in real-time for rapid solution of the PDEs. In this paper, we present the first result on applying NOs in adaptive PDE control, presented for a benchmark 1-D hyperbolic PDE with recirculation. We establish global stabilization via Lyapunov analysis, in the plant and parameter error states, and also present an alternative approach, via passive identifiers, which avoids the strong assumptions on kernel differentiability. We then present numerical simulations demonstrating stability and observe speedups up to three orders of magnitude, highlighting the real-time efficacy of neural operators in adaptive control. Our code (Github) is made publicly available for future researchers.

A millennium of endeavors to fully recognize and foresee the evolution of dynamic environments has produced many mathematical models for forecasting, and information-gathering techniques, but also exceptionally complicated computational systems. Predefined complicated realities called hyperchaotic frameworks [1] demonstrate unpredictable sequences of behavior over time and sometimes defy standards. These events' temporal and spatial relationships can be compared to physiological kinetics [2]. Several complicated frameworks are currently developed to comprehend spontaneous incidents, their erratic conduct, and how changing the circumstances of actual events may result in an unanticipated shift in the result. Over the duration of the past couple of eons, the objective of being able to understand and anticipate unpredictable actions has been accomplished with the aid of innovations in technology [3] and fundamental principles [4].